Russia-Ukraine Tear Sheet (wk 0)
24 February 2022 Week 0 Many points are tentative and subject to change
Top Line Information
Russia invades Ukraine late last night
Putin proclaims revanchism toward the former Russian Empire
Majority of USA Public against military deployment into Ukraine
Allied countries formulate Piranha-level sanctions onto Russia (the highest level of sanctions reserved for countries such as North Korea, Iran, and Syria)
Germany cancels NordStream2
NATO activates Defense Plan which gives commanders deployment authority
NATO to hold emergency session tomorrow
Gas prices raise to 7-year high as oil hits $100 per barrel
USA Dow Jones falls 800 points
Russian Developments
Russian Government Developments
Revanchist mindset in reclaiming former Russian Glory, the former Russian Empire
Saudi Arabia colludes with Russia to increase gas prices
Putin calls the fall of the USSR the greatest tragedy of the century (this is the same century that includes World War I and invention of mass executions through machinery, the dropping of nuclear bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and Hitler)
Russia internal financing predicted to withstand sanctions for about a year
Russian Military Developments
Vailed Threat of the Russian Nuclear Arsenal
Attacks and bombing runs throughout Ukraine (including the capital city)
Invasion into Ukraine begun late last night (early this morning)
USA Developments
USA Government Developments
Biden claims no American soldiers to Ukraine
Congress calls on President to seek approval to authorize military deployment
Republicans divided on response between ‘stay out of it’ and ‘full involvement’
Talks for reopening the Key Stone Pipe Line and fracking to save gas prices and overall economy
Inflation and interest rates expected to rise
Calls for a ‘New Deal’ on Nuclear Power plants
USA bars energy production from sanctions package
USA pledges response if cyber attack occurs on American companies
USA Public Developments
Majority of Americans do not trust American intelligence
USA Public largely against boots on the ground in Ukraine
Trump calls Putin “Genius” for his invasion
Fearful of potential World War III
Allied Developments
European Union Developments
Germany cancels NordStream2
Preparations for a potential refugee crisis out of Ukraine and in Eastern Europe
United Kingdom unveils “largest set of sanctions ever … by the UK government”
Near-complete freezing and prohibiting of all Russian government-tied companies
Banning of Russian Airlines
Laying of legislation to sanction and ban tech to and from Russia
Equally laying sanctions to Belarus
Banning and sanctioning of Russia’s premier defense contractor, Rostec
Debarking of Russia from the global system
High level Russian officials barred from travel and accounts seized
Piranha-level sanctions onto Russia (these are the highest level of sanctions reserved for countries like North Korea, Iran, Syria)
Many sanctions are still being debated by western nations
NATO Developments
NATO calls invasion an “Act of War”
United Kingdom calls for mobilization of troops
USA to lean on NATO for military response
NATO members authorize deployment at the discretion of NATO Allied Command
NATO to scramble aircraft and ships to NATO’s boarders
Focus on increasing military presence in Eastern Europe
NATO activates Defense Plan which gives commanders deployment authority
Believes Russia never intended on negotiating in good faith
NATO to hold emergency session tomorrow
Markets
Global Stock Markets
Markets across the board are in free fall
Oil has hit $100 per barrel
German markets are down 3.3% (biggest loss in the world)
Russian Rubul (their dollar) at all time low against the dollar
Gold, wheat, soy bean futures jump to year highs within a day
Prices of Nitrogen exports from China expected to rise, and in turn fertilizer, and in turn food prices to all rise
Gas prices raise to 7-year high
Global economic strife expected for the years to come
Domestic (USA) Stock Markets
Dow Jones down 800 points
Wall Street did not predict war in Ukraine